Colorado mountains
From Long-Term Data to Understanding: Toward a Predictive Ecology
2015 LTER ASM Estes Park, CO - August 30 - September 2, 2015

Climate change trends at long-term ecological research sites and anticipated ecosystem responses

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This working group addresses the challenge of quantifying climate change and variability and its relationship to ecosystem response at long-term ecological research sites.   We will examine the accumulated evidence of climate change and variability from selected long-term ecological research sites, which have been participating in intersite analysis of climate trends since 2009, and discuss implications for ecological responses to climate change.  We will review state-of-the-art quantitative techniques to analyze trends and uncertainty in climate records at long-term ecological research sites.  Participants will discuss the utility of long-term records as the basis for forecasts of future climate, and how climate model predictions can be downscaled to related to observed changes at long-term ecological research sites.  The group will formulate a plan for continued intersite analysis of climate change and anticipated ecosystem responses at decadal to multi-decadal time scales at long-term ecological research sites.

Julia Jones
Nel Caine
Henry Briceno
Number of 2 hour sessions requested: 
Equipment requested: 
powerpoint projector
Working Group Materials
Related materials: 
Room Assignment: 
Longs Peak Diamond East (Capacity 100)